Its been an interesting year in the financial markets, to say the least.
And today’s chart qualifies as “interesting” indeed.
When the market crashed in March, bond prices surged as yields fell. And the 20+ Year US Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) hit $179 before reversing lower. This seemed like a somewhat normal market response.
The past 4 to 5 months have seen stocks rise, with the Nasdaq hitting all-time highs and the S&P 500 (SPY) re-testing its highs.
But what’s interesting here is that bonds (TLT) re-rallied back up over $170 on two separate occasions. And bonds are reversing lower this month, raising an important question: Could stocks and bonds reach a double peak at the same time?
Odds are low that both will peak at the highs hit earlier this year. If the S&P succeeds in breaking above its prior highs, it would be odd if bonds continue to rally as well!