Interest Rates Bottoming On Fed Decision Day?

Interest Rates Bottoming On Fed Decision Day?

This afternoon the Fed will announce if they are going to lower interest rates. Does the bond market already have a rate decrease priced into the market? Possible! This chart looks at the yield on the 10-year note over the past 20-years. Without a doubt, the long-term...
Who is Lying? Stocks, Crude Oil or Yields?

Who is Lying? Stocks, Crude Oil or Yields?

Crude Oil, Stocks, and Yields have experienced a high degree of correlation over the past few months. All three peaked together near the end of September and all three bottomed together near Christmas. This month a big divergence is taking place! The chart above...
Interest Rates Sputter… Is U.S. Economy Next?

Interest Rates Sputter… Is U.S. Economy Next?

The Federal Reserve wasn’t quite as hawkish as investors expected. The result: Treasury bond yields (interest rates) fell sharply. In today’s chart of the 10-Year US Treasury Yield, we highlight the reversal in rates that occurred late last year. This wasn’t just any...