On May the 14th, I shared that the world was at risk due to two key reasons…(1) Bearish rising wedges had formed around the globe and (2) Correlation risk was extremely high! (see post here)
The “Power of the Pattern” was suggesting that a Domino effect was close at hand, that if one support line broke, they all would and investors that remained long would look like the girl on the slide!
On August the 4th I shared the photo above…suggesting that their was not going to be many places to hide (see correlation risk post) . Many Wall Street firms make investors feel they have to keep their money at risk all the time...my mindset, just because the music is playing, we don’t have to dance to every song!
Earlier in the week I shared that the Shanghai index was breaking a 20-year support line in the chart below (see post here)
CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE
Below is an update through last nights close of S&P 500, as it closed at its Fibonacci 38% retracement level…
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I shared two days ago that the 500 index looked like it was ready to run out of gas around the 1,212 level (see post here) and that the typical 20% rally off of the high VIX readings looked like it wasn’t going to take place.
As a reminder, I am not a Bull or a Bear (see post here)….We live in great times everyone! The reason I say this is that the variety of tools to “enlarge portfolios regardless of market directions” have never been better!!! (check out how RWM and SMN are doing today!)
Hi Chris
Thanks for this great consolidated view!
I’m looking at at two long term views:
– The Shanghai Index breaking support after 20 years. Happened!
– The Gold/CHF view where you hesit the pattern will break?
Wouldn’t it make sense to imagine that the first is a leading
indicator and the latter will follow?
Meaning that first event will manifest as a pattern?
All the best