Gold – US Dollar Attempting 14-Year Breakout!
Looking at the price of Gold in US Dollars is critical to understanding its trend for US investors. Today we look at a “monthly” chart of the Gold to US Dollar ratio to highlight why Gold may be breaking out. If the Gold/Dollar ratio can hold above 14-year resistance...
Historical Deja Vu: Will 30-Year Treasury Bond Yields Repeat 2007?
We have repeated several times the importance and implications of rising/falling interest rates. And today we come back to this theme while discussing long-term US treasury bond yields. Above, we share a “monthly” chart of the 30-year treasury bond yield. And, as you...
Are German Government Bond Yields Changing 44 Year Trend?
Interest rates continue to dominate our recent research. And rightfully so. Big swings in interest rates have ramifications for the domestic and global economy. Whether it is falling bond yields / interest rates in China (as we highlighted last week) or rising bond...
30-Year Treasury Bond Yields Targeting 6.5% or Higher?
In just 4 years, the trend (and investment theme) of low interest rates has been turned on its head. During this time, home and auto loan rates have gone from consumer-friendly to unfriendly. Quite frankly, whether you look at the 10-year or 30-year treasury bond...
Chinese Bond Yields Collapse; U.S., German Yields Breaking Out?
There are a lot of moving parts across the global economy. From commodity prices to employment data to bond yields, investors pay attention. Today we look at government bond yields (i.e. interest rates)… and how they are moving in opposite directions in China compared...
Russell 2000 At Important Risk-On vs Risk-Off Crossroads!
The stock market has been charging higher into year end. Then came the FED interest rate decision and comments. But even a couple weeks before this, an area of the stock market was already pulling back: the small-cap Russell 2000 Index. The small cap index tested its...
Did Nasdaq Out-Performance Double Top At Year 2000 Peak?
In February 2021, the Nasdaq Composite stock index began to underperform the S&P 500… and this has continued for the past 45 months. Today, we highlight the long-term chart of this Nasdaq to S&P 500 ratio price performance, along with key observations and...
Nikkei Trading Near 1989 Stock Peak; Double Top?
If you have been investing for 35 years, you likely remember the fervor heading into the Japanese Nikkei stock market index peak. And most investors of any age likely have viewed charts and read about it. Why? Because there was a bullish mania to buy Japanese stocks...
US Dollar Rally Near Critical Inflection Point!
In a world where the US Dollar still makes the world go round, it’s vitally important that investors pay attention to potential pivot points for the buck. There’s a reason why we call it King Dollar! When it is weakening, we often see a tailwind for gold and other...
Is the Japanese Yen Oversold and Ready To Rally?
The Japanese YEN has been weak versus the US Dollar over much of the past 2 years. However, that trend could coming to an end if today’s chart pattern continues to play out. Today we look at a “daily” chart of the Japanese YEN / US Dollar currency Pair. As you can...