Commodity Index Rallies Back To Key Inflection Point
After peaking in 2011, TR Equal Weighted Commodities index has traded in a tight declining trend channel. The falling trend channel is marked by each (1). As you can see, price recently fell through the support line at (2), leading to lower lows before the recent...
Bank Index Could Be Creating Large Bearish Pattern, Says Joe Friday
Are Banks going to end the month with a large bearish pattern just below dual resistance? Possible, yet the month is far from over! This chart looks at the Bank Index (BKX) on a monthly basis. The rally this month took it up to test its 61% retracement level and old...
S&P 500 Tests Monthly Highs, As Dumb Money Confidence Is Very High!
The stock market rally has taken the S&P 500 Index all the way back to an important price point on the “monthly” chart. And how the index closes during the summer months may provide further direction to investors, starting with June. As you can see in today’s...
Strong Leadership (Semiconductors) Attempting Breakout To All-Time Highs!
Strong leadership is attempting to break out to new all-time highs. If it is successful, it sends a positive message to the broad markets! The chart on the left compares Semiconductors (SMH) to the S&P 500 over the past 12-years. Since the 2009 lows, the ratio has...
Banks Peaking As They Kiss 7-Year Resistance?
If Banks peak here would they send a caution message to the stock rally over the past couple of months? Yes! This chart looks at the Bank Index (BKX) on a weekly basis since the summer of 2012. Since the lows in July of 2012, the index has spent the majority of the...
JP Morgan Facing 11-year Breakout Test!
Is a major bank in the states about to send the broad market a bullish message? If it breaks out at (2), it will! JP Morgan struggled to break above resistance for nearly 18-months, as it keep kissing the underside of line (1). Once it succeeded in breaking out, it...
Is the 39 Year Treasury Bond Bull Market Over?
10 Year US Treasury Bond Yield “inverted” Chart This chart should look familiar, as I’ve shared and updated it a few times to alert clients and readers. It is the 10 Year US Treasury Yield Chart… inverted. As you know, bond yields and price move in opposite...
Crude Oil Rallies 222% in 30-days, Peak Oil Time Again?
Can you believe that Crude Oil has rallied 222% in the past 30-trading days? It's hard to believe that Crude Oil is trading nearly $75 off its lows, yet the current price is around $36! The chart looks at the Crude Oil continuous contract on a monthly basis for the...
Small Caps Testing Triple Breakout Price Point!
The Russell 2000 Index (RUT) has lagged the broader S&P 500 Index for much of the recovery rally off the March lows. But recently, the small caps stocks index has joined the fun. But the question is, can it last? In today’s chart, we highlight a very important...
Aussie Dollar Suggesting Much Higher Commodities And Yields On The Way???
Is the Aussie Dollar about to jump higher and signal that Commodities and interest rates are about to do the same? Possible! This chart looks at the Aussie Dollar on a monthly basis over the past 16-years. The AU$ created a bottoming pattern over several months in...
