by Chris Kimble | Nov 2, 2022 | Kimble Charting
The rise in interest rates has been meteoric, with mortgage rates reaching levels not seen in nearly 2 decades. The 10-year US treasury bond yield is highly watched as a leading indicator and that yield has risen from near 0 (Covid) to well over 4 percent recently. Is...
by Chris Kimble | Apr 13, 2022 | Kimble Charting
Over the past two years, we have seen inflation soar. And with that has coming rising interest rates. This week’s CPI and PPI data have only confirmed consumers fears. But how much of the latest inflation data is baked into current interest rates? Today we take a look...
by Chris Kimble | Mar 3, 2021 | Kimble Charting
The bull market in bond prices has steady, durable, and trustworthy. Over the past 40 years, if investors could count on anything, it was rising bonds and falling bond yields (interest rates). But this trend / dynamic may be changing… The post pandemic spike lower in...
by Chris Kimble | Feb 24, 2021 | Kimble Charting
Inflation seems to be a thing of the past… but current trading in bond and commodity markets tell us that it could become a thing of the future! Inflation hasn’t been an issue, or even on our radar, since the 1980s. Sure, the 2007 surge in oil prices offered some...
by Chris Kimble | Jan 7, 2021 | Kimble Charting
For the past three decades, one thing investors could count on was lower yields and rising bond prices (due to inverse relationship). The Federal Reserve was dovish and a competitive market (due to the rise of technology) kept prices and inflation under control. And...
by Chris Kimble | Nov 3, 2020 | Kimble Charting
The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq don’t have much to brag about the past 90-days, as their performance has been near flat. It also hasn’t paid a great deal to be long bonds, as popular bond ETF (TLT) has declined over 6%. What asset has it paid to own over...
by Chris Kimble | Oct 7, 2020 | Kimble Charting
Are Government bonds creating a peak and starting to roll over? Possible! What happens at the support test (2) will go a long way to answering this question. This chart looks at Government bond ETF (TLT) on a monthly basis, where Fibonacci was applied to the 2010 lows...
by Chris Kimble | Oct 5, 2020 | Kimble Charting
Are interest rates attempting to create a long-term bottoming pattern over the last 6-months? Possible! This chart looks at the yield on the 10-year note, on a quarterly basis since the early 1960s. In the late 1960s and early 1970s, yields started creating higher...
