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A New Year has started, yet many of last years financial debates remain the same?
Will Inflation or Deflation be the major theme in 2012? The Currency winner will be a stronger Dollar or Euro as a rising wedge has formed (see post here)? Global falling resistance holds or breaks? (see post here) Flag/Pennant patterns in the broad stock market will be resolved to which side? TLT is facing resistance at the 2008 financial crisis highs (see post here) …Can TLT rally in 2012 like it did in 2011 (Up over 25%)?
A “Helpful Tip” could well come from the TIP ETF as it has formed an “Ascending Triangle” over the past 5 months.
Tips can be effected by rising and falling interest rates and inflation/deflation. This pattern could still take a few weeks to resolve, yet how TIPS break from this pattern could well become a “HUGE TIP per portfolio construction!”
Andrew…If TIP does break to the upside, the outcome you mentioned does happen more often.
What is nice about this pattern…it has to end soon!
Chris
Chris,
I see 50 & 100 day crosses of 200dma in DJACN (corn) DJAGRT (Grains), JJG, JJC, $sugar. Looks alot like 2008.
The head and shoulder formations in the grains is especially similar.
So ascending triagle is generally bullish, but does a break higher in TIPS indicate a flight to safety and possibly market weakness?