dowtheorymonthlybreakoutnov3

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Definition of Dow Theory –  A theory which says the market is in an upward trend if one of its averages (industrial or transportation) advances above a previous important high, it is accompanied or followed by a similar advance in the other.

With a wild October now in the books, I wanted to share a quick update on the big three Dow Indexes at the end of the month.

As you can see in the chart above, all three closed at “monthly all-time highs” at the same time. 

averagegain7percentrestofyearnov1

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My good friend Ryan Detrick put this chart together, which shares that during the 6th year of a presidents term,  the average gain between now and the end of the year is around 7%.  

Will the combo of a Dow Theory buy signal and strong seasonal performance increase the odds of a Santa Claus rally?  Stay tuned!!!

 

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