Current data suggests that inflation has been in our everyday lives for several months. And today’s Producer Price Index data was pretty ugly.
BUT… could inflation be peaking?
Today’s chart 2-pack offers a glimpse of why inflation could subside over the near-term.
Here we look at the “monthly” chart of the US Dollar and Euro currencies. It’s pretty easy to see the rising trend channel for the US Dollar and falling trend channel for the Euro. As well, both currencies have formed a wedge pattern, with the US Dollar testing resistance and the Euro testing support.
Should the US Dollar break out to the upside (Euro break to downside), then inflation would likely subside. However, if the US dollar turns lower and breaks its own support, then inflation could take off.
Seems like a pretty important pennant pattern to watch. Stay tuned!