Hard to believe that Silver hit $50 an ounce in 2011? Even though Silver is off to a good start in 2017 (up near 14%), it remains over 50% below the highs of 6-years ago.
Below looks at Silver on a monthly basis, over the past 40-years.
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Silver hit the 1979 highs in 2011 (Double Topped) and then proceed to create a series of lower highs and lower lows. The decline took Silver down to its 23% retracement level of the 1993 lows/2011 highs. It is possible that Silver created the “Head” of a multi-year reversal pattern (inverse head & shoulders) at (1).
If Silver is making a long-term bottoming pattern (inverse head & shoulders), the ideal price action would be; create a right shoulder above the left shoulder, where a rally takes off and breaks above the falling neckline, in the $20 zone. At this time the neckline comes into play as resistance. To prove the read correct, breaking above the neckline is a must!!!
Full Disclosure- Even though Silver has done well in 2017, Premium and Metals members have been playing this sector via GDX & GDXJ. If this read for Silver would happen to be correct, Gold, Silver and Miners should do well.