by Chris Kimble | Apr 15, 2021 | Kimble Charting
Long-dated treasury bonds have been crushed over the past year, sending ETFs like TLT (20+ Year US Treasury Bond ETF) spiraling over 20%. Improving economy? Inflation concerns? Perhaps a combination of both… interest rates have risen sharply and thus bond prices have...
by Chris Kimble | Mar 12, 2021 | Kimble Charting
The bond market has had a bad 12-months, as interest rates bottomed in March of 2020. Popular Government Bond ETF (TLT) has lost more than 15% in the past year! Are bonds about to receive more bad news? Sure could!!! This chart from Marketsmith looks at the Inverse...
by Chris Kimble | Mar 3, 2021 | Kimble Charting
The bull market in bond prices has steady, durable, and trustworthy. Over the past 40 years, if investors could count on anything, it was rising bonds and falling bond yields (interest rates). But this trend / dynamic may be changing… The post pandemic spike lower in...
by Chris Kimble | Jan 27, 2021 | Kimble Charting
Bonds have experienced a large percentage decline since the highs of last March. Have bonds fallen enough? If they rally, could they be sending a bearish message to stocks? This chart looks at Govt Bond ETF (TLT) over the past 20-years. TLT has created a series of...
by Chris Kimble | Nov 9, 2020 | Kimble Charting
Holy Cow a big move in interest rates is taking place this morning! Does this mean an important breakout/higher interest rates are about to happen? Could be! This chart looks at the 10-year yield on a weekly basis over the past 12-years. For sure the long-term trend...
by Chris Kimble | Nov 3, 2020 | Kimble Charting
The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq don’t have much to brag about the past 90-days, as their performance has been near flat. It also hasn’t paid a great deal to be long bonds, as popular bond ETF (TLT) has declined over 6%. What asset has it paid to own over...
by Chris Kimble | Oct 19, 2020 | Kimble Charting
US treasury bond yields have been trending lower for over 3 decades. Could the latest drop mark a significant low for bond yields and interest rates? In today’s chart, we can see that interest rates have had several spike lows and highs, but that each low is lower and...
by Chris Kimble | Oct 7, 2020 | Kimble Charting
Are Government bonds creating a peak and starting to roll over? Possible! What happens at the support test (2) will go a long way to answering this question. This chart looks at Government bond ETF (TLT) on a monthly basis, where Fibonacci was applied to the 2010 lows...