Bonds Peaking/Interest Rates Bottoming Here?

Bonds Peaking/Interest Rates Bottoming Here?

This chart looks at the Yield on the 10-year note on a weekly basis. Interest rates look to have peaked last October. Since hitting those highs, yields have declined 35%! This large decline has them testing the 2017 lows and its 61% retracement level of the 2016...
Who is Lying? Stocks, Crude Oil or Yields?

Who is Lying? Stocks, Crude Oil or Yields?

Crude Oil, Stocks, and Yields have experienced a high degree of correlation over the past few months. All three peaked together near the end of September and all three bottomed together near Christmas. This month a big divergence is taking place! The chart above...
Interest Rates Sputter… Is U.S. Economy Next?

Interest Rates Sputter… Is U.S. Economy Next?

The Federal Reserve wasn’t quite as hawkish as investors expected. The result: Treasury bond yields (interest rates) fell sharply. In today’s chart of the 10-Year US Treasury Yield, we highlight the reversal in rates that occurred late last year. This wasn’t just any...
Is a 1,000% rally in 5-years enough?

Is a 1,000% rally in 5-years enough?

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE This chart looks at the yield of the 2-year note and its 5.5-year performance since 1999. The 2-year yield looks to have double bottomed in 2013 and since then it has been swiftly moving higher inside of rising channel (1). The 2-year yield...